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Estudiantes
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Corinthians

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Corinthians

Mendez (1')
Nunez (60'), Lollo (79')
FT
(aet)

Alberto (67'), Maycon (74'), Santos (81')
Corinthians win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Estudiantes and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-3 Union
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We say: Estudiantes 1-1 Corinthians (Corinthians advance 2-1 on aggregate)

Estudiantes have proven they can score in bunches at home, but the defensive shape and organisation of Corinthians makes it difficult for us to believe the Argentines will be able to overturn their current deficit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.52%).

Result
EstudiantesDrawCorinthians
60.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 15.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.79% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.06% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)49.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)83.99% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 60.58%
    Corinthians 15.56%
    Draw 23.84%
EstudiantesDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.36%
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 60.58%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.56%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Corinthians

Estudiantes
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Corinthians
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
1-0
Estudiantes
Gil (17')
Mendez (19'), Santos (30')

Rodriguez (31'), Rollheiser (71'), Godoy (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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