MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 02:56:25| >> :60:2779:2779:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata

Alianza Petrolera
0 - 1
Union La Calera


Rangel (18'), Saldana (29'), Meza (45'), Torres (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gigliotti (45+3' pen.)
Ferrario (21'), Ferreyra (51'), Ulloa (86')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Union La Calera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Petrolera

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Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Union La Calera

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Last Game: Everton 0-1 Union La Calera
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Petrolera win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Alianza PetroleraDrawUnion La Calera
44.71% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 27.37% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 27.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.2% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (-0.055 -0.05)57.87% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (-0.044 -0.04)78.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)25.78% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.064 -0.06)60.72% (0.064 0.06)
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)73.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Petrolera 44.7%
    Union La Calera 27.92%
    Draw 27.37%
Alianza PetroleraDrawUnion La Calera
1-0 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.92%

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3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
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