Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 9, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte
Nacional1 - 6El Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Nacional Potosi and El Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional Potosi | Draw | El Nacional |
49.56% ( 0.11) | 24.13% ( -0.03) | 26.31% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.06) | 45.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( 0.06) | 68.3% ( -0.06) |
Nacional Potosi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.07) | 18.62% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( 0.12) | 49.92% ( -0.11) |
El Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0.03) | 31.37% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.26% ( -0.04) | 67.74% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional Potosi 49.56%
El Nacional 26.31%
Draw 24.13%
Nacional Potosi | Draw | El Nacional |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.31% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-25 16:35:16
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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