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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
44.28% | 27.82% | 27.89% |
Both teams to score 45.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.54% | 59.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% | 79.82% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% | 61.98% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.69% | 37.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.9% | 74.09% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |