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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
51.05% | 25.23% | 23.72% |
Both teams to score 49.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% | 52.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% | 74.31% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% | 20.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% | 37.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.03% | 73.97% |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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