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Champions League
Qarabag
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
FC Zurich

Qarabag FK
3 - 2
FC Zurich

Kady (17'), Wadji (36', 66')
Kady (61'), Seydayev (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kamberi (65'), Kryeziu (85' pen.)
Hornschuh (14'), Kryeziu (16'), Aliti (62'), Selnaes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag FK 5-1 Lech Poznan
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FC Zurich

Last Six:
Last Game: Young Boys 4-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Qarabag FK 1-1 FC Zurich

 Both sides carry a goal threat and are used to taking the initiative in domestic competition, so there could be several opportunities at either end in this first leg. Qarabag have proven themselves dangerous opponents in Baku, so they should at least travel to Switzerland next week on level terms. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawFC Zurich
28.57% (-0.122 -0.12) 23.39% (-0.284 -0.28) 48.04% (0.406 0.41)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.913 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (1.241 1.24)41.01% (-1.241 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (1.253 1.25)63.4% (-1.254 -1.25)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.54900000000001 0.55)27.13% (-0.551 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (0.71 0.71)62.52% (-0.712 -0.71)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.633 0.63)17.3% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (1.101 1.1)47.65% (-1.102 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 28.57%
    FC Zurich 48.04%
    Draw 23.39%
Qarabag FKDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.57%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.131 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 48.04%

How you voted: Qarabag FK vs FC Zurich

Qarabag FK
54.5%
Draw
20.5%
FC Zurich
25.0%
88
rhs 2.0
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