Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto3 - 0Marseille
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Marseille |
| 49.9% | 21.88% | 28.21% |
| Both teams to score 65.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
