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Champions League
Ferencvaros
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Groupama Aréna

Ferencvaros
5 - 1
Tobol

Traore (4', 17'), Laidouni (21'), Bassey (74', 90+1')
Kovacevic (56')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sergeev (23')
Muzhikov (78')
Muzhikov (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ferencvaros and Tobol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

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Last Game: Tobol 0-0 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, July 6 at 3pm in Champions League
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Tobol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tobol 0-0 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, July 6 at 3pm in Champions League
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We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 Tobol

 Tobol more than held their own in the first leg last week, but it is a big ask for them to triumph on Wednesday night. We are expecting it to be a tight affair but believe that Ferencvaros will ultimately have too much and are backing the Hungarian side to advance to the second qualifying round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawTobol
44.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 25.79% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.77% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33% (-0.012 -0.01)72.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07%22.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31%56.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.04% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)67.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 44.13%
    Tobol 30.08%
    Draw 25.79%
FerencvarosDrawTobol
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Tobol

Ferencvaros
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Tobol
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 3pm
Tobol
0-0
Ferencvaros

Jovancic (32'), Kairov (38')

Vecsei (33'), Boli (38'), Laidouni (71')
rhs 2.0
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