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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.04% | 22.59% | 53.36% |
Both teams to score 58.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% | 41.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% | 63.56% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% | 30.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% | 66.84% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% | 44.29% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.19% 1-0 @ 5.6% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.04% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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