MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 18:08:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Galo have been sharp defensively away from home in this competition, and we believe they will be able to limit the Gremio scoring opportunities on Saturday and find a way to claim a point against an unstable backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 27.71% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.271 -0.27)57.31% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.217 -0.22)78.14% (0.218 0.22)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)31.76% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.208 -0.21)68.19% (0.209 0.21)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)28.94% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.167 -0.17)64.82% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 33.88%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.4%
    Draw 27.71%
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
62.1%
Draw
24.1%
Atletico Mineiro
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Jan 20, 2021 10.15pm
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Keno (11', 52')
Oct 13, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico Mineiro
1-4
Gremio
Di Santo (45' pen.)
Hulk (45'), Cazares (45'), Geuvanio (62'), Luan (65'), Nathan (89')
Cazares (68')
Galhardo (34'), Souza (44' pen.), Pepe (47'), Alisson (94')
Andre (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!