Bahia

2 - 1

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.