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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 2
Atlanta

Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

 Philadelphia Union have drawn their last five MLS games, and the spoils have been shared in each of Atlanta United's last two away matches. Given that the two sides are separated by just two points in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, and we expect a draw this Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
55.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.96%
    Atlanta United 21.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111
> Full Version


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