Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Cremonese |
70.02% ( 0.47) | 19.09% ( 0.02) | 10.89% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 42.55% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% ( -1.36) | 48.56% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( -1.25) | 70.68% ( 1.25) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.31% ( -0.27) | 12.68% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.12% ( -0.56) | 38.88% ( 0.56) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.74% ( -1.77) | 51.26% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.48% ( -1.21) | 85.52% ( 1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Cremonese |
2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.72% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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