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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

While no team has won more home matches in this season's Serie A than Inter, their visitors boast the third-best away record in Italy's top flight. It may be just one goal that splits the sides, then, but the hosts' momentum is still building whereas Atalanta are a more hit-and-miss proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
58.27% (0.067 0.07) 23.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 18.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.275 -0.27)52.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.238 -0.24)74.29% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)17.82% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.133 -0.13)48.56% (0.132 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (-0.286 -0.29)43.01% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (-0.242 -0.24)79.3% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 58.27%
    Atalanta BC 18.13%
    Draw 23.59%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.9%
Draw
14.1%
Atalanta BC
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Onana (90+4'), Correa (90+1')

Soppy (90')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Skriniar (54')
Conte (12')

Romero (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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