Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
39.6% | 27.41% | 32.99% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.69% ( -0) | 56.31% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.66% | 77.34% ( -0) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( -0) | 27.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% | 63.35% ( -0) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( -0) | 31.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.72% ( -0) | 68.29% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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