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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PSV

AZ
0 - 4
PSV


van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
FT(HT: 0-3)
de Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 2-0 AZ
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Jansen will be eager for his players to record a statement result, one which will help ease any pressure on his shoulders. Nevertheless, we cannot back against a rampant PSV who we feel will thoroughly outclass one of their rivals for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
50.89% (1.972 1.97) 22.22% (-0.553 -0.55) 26.89% (-1.415 -1.42)
Both teams to score 63.08% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (1.569 1.57)36.69% (-1.565 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.14% (1.686 1.69)58.86% (-1.683 -1.68)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (1.254 1.25)14.69% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (2.35 2.35)42.86% (-2.346 -2.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.152 -0.15)26.06% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.204 -0.2)61.11% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 50.89%
    PSV Eindhoven 26.89%
    Draw 22.22%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.298 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.261 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.202 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.429 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
23.8%
Draw
4.8%
PSV Eindhoven
71.4%
21
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-0
PSV
Karlsson (4'), Koopmeiners (68')

Sangare (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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