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Weymouth
National League | Gameweek 27
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Aldershot Town

Weymouth
0 - 1
Aldershot


Harfield (53'), Murray (57'), Mnoga (86'), Bearwish (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goodship (90+2' og.)

Preview: Weymouth vs. Aldershot Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Weymouth and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams still in search of their first victory of 2022 face off on Saturday as Weymouth and Aldershot Town lock horns at the Bob Lucas Stadium.

Exacting revenge will also be on the agenda for the visitors having suffered a 2-0 defeat in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Weymouth suffered a fifth consecutive home loss as they were beaten 2-1 by Dagenham & Redbridge F.C on Tuesday.

David Oldfield's men took the lead seven minutes from the break through Josh McQuoid before second-half goals from Josh Walker and Paul McCallum turned the game on its head.

The Terras remain in the bottom three and are now nine points adrift of safety with just under half of the campaign left to play.

A major Achilles' heel for Saturday's hosts has been their defensive vulnerability, as only the two teams beneath them in the league standings have shipped more goals.

Aldershot played out a second consecutive share of the spoils following a 1-1 stalemate versus Southend at the Recreation Ground on Tuesday.

Mark Molesley's men took the lead early on courtesy of Ryan Glover's opener and were on course to claim all three points before conceding a late equaliser to Harry Cardwell.

Having amassed 27 points from their 25 games so far, the Shots are in 15th place at the moment, well clear of the drop zone and also significantly adrift of the playoff places.

Saturday's visitors, who currently have one of the meanest defences away from home this season, will be confident of keeping their hosts at bay.

Weymouth National League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Weymouth form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Aldershot Town National League form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Aldershot Town form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Josh McQuoid has scored three of Weymouth's last five goals and will need to be on song if his side are to emerge victorious this weekend.

Ahkeem Rose made his return to action last time out after sitting out the previous four games, and the 23-year-old will be pushing for a start here.

Aldershot's Ryan Glover recently opened his account for the season off the back of 14 outings without a goal, and he will be looking to kick on from there.

Bradley Webb has struggled with his discipline of late, picking up yellow cards in two of his last three games, which could see him dropped to the bench as a result.

Weymouth possible starting lineup:
Fitzsimons; Cordner, Drewe, Mnoga, Harfield; Olomowewe, Solanke, Murray, McQuoid; Shelds, Greenidge

Aldershot Town possible starting lineup:
Walker; Sylla, Shroll, Whittingham; Phillips, Chamberlain, Jordan, Kinsella, Harris; Glover, Berkeley-Agyepong


SM words green background

We say: Weymouth 1-2 Aldershot Town

Judging by the league table, the visitors are slight favourites to come out on top, and we are tipping them to claim a narrow victory against their hosts who have been poor on home turf.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aldershot Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aldershot Town.


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