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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dean (80')
Colin (59'), Toral (60'), Bela (83')

Preview: Bristol City vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bristol City welcome Birmingham City to Ashton Gate on Saturday afternoon having returned to the top six in the Championship standings.

However, the visitors head into this contest on the back of another game without success, their latest defeat to Barnsley leaving the club in 18th position.


Match preview

Bristol City manager Dean Holden pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Despite the change in manager earlier in the year, Bristol City have remained as one of the most inconsistent teams in English football.

Four victories in a row at the start of the season were followed by a five-match winless streak, undoing the results which had earned the club a spot in the top two.

However, the Robins have now prevailed in four of their last six contests, their most recent triumph coming at Queens Park Rangers on Tuesday night.

Dean Holden's team now sit in fifth spot, just one point adrift of the leaders, and the opportunity is there to progress higher up the standings in the next three fixtures.

Nevertheless, Bristol City succumbed to an out-of-form Birmingham side in this game last season, and it is something that their next opponents will want to replicate at the weekend.

Blues have recorded just two victories in 14 matches, the last of which came on October 31, while three points have been collected in six matches.

The appointment of Aitor Karanka looked a shrewd piece of business when the West Midlands outfit began the season with a 1-0 win over Brentford, but that success has proven to be a rare highlight during the Spaniard's short reign.

Birmingham are still six points above the relegation zone, and Karanka will likely stay in the dugout as long as he is able to maintain that gap above the bottom three.

That said, he has minimal backing from the club's supporters, something which could potentially tempt the club's owners into a change if things do not improve in the coming weeks.

Bristol City Championship form: WWWDLW

Birmingham City Championship form: LLDDDL


Team News

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on October 4, 2020© Reuters

Despite the recent setback against Barnsley, Karanka could decide to stick with the same 3-4-1-2 system.

However, George Friend, Jeremie Bela and Lukas Jutkiewicz are all pushing for a recall to the team after only being named as substitutes on Tuesday.

Having had an extra day of recovery, Holden may opt against making many alterations to his Bristol City XI.

Tommy Rowe made a positive impression when replacing Jay Dasilva against QPR, while Tyreeq Bakinson is a potential alternative for veteran midfielder Chris Brunt.

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Mariappa, Vyner, Kalas, Rowe; Nagy, Brunt, O'Dowda; Semenyo, Martin, Wells

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Roberts, Dean, Clarke-Salter; Colin, Sanchez, San Jose, Pedersen; McGree; Jutkiewicz, Hogan


SM words green background

We say: Bristol City 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues stunned their hosts in this fixture last season, we do not expect lightning to strike twice. Providing that complacency does not become an issue, Bristol City should be able to come through this match with minimal fuss.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


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Queens Park Rangers manager Mark Warburton pictured in September 2020
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